Is the so-called Christian right driving liberals away from religion?
A new FiveThirtyEight analysis of recent studies proposes it is.
Researchers Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Daniel Cox say new data confirmed what a paper advised in 2002: that “distaste for the Christian right’s connection with politics was prompting some left-leaning Americans to walk away from religion.” That, in turn, helped explain why the percentage of Americans who identify as nonreligious was increasing.
“It was a simple but convincing explanation,” Thomson-DeVeaux and Cox wrote. “For one thing, the timing made sense.”
White evangelical Protestants were becoming more tangled in politics in the 1990s, promoting legislation on abortion and same-sex marriage, the researchers noted. The 2002 study declared that the Christian right wasn’t just rousing religious voters – it was pushing “left-leaning people” with weaker religious ties “out of religion.”
“In the past few years,” Thomson-DeVeaux and Cox wrote, several “projecting political scientists” have agreed with the 2002 study and “decided that politics is a driving factor behind the rise of the religiously unaffiliated.”
“For one thing, several studies that followed respondents over time showed that it wasn’t that people were commonly becoming more secular, and then dropping toward liberal politics because it fit with their new religious identity,” Thomson-DeVeaux and Cox wrote. “People’s political identities remained constant as their religious affiliation shifted.”
One study even found that “reading a news story about a Republican who spoke in a church” could “prompt some Democrats to say they were nonreligious,” Thomson-DeVeaux and Cox wrote.
“It’s like an allergic reaction to the mixture of Republican politics and religion,” David Campbell, a political scientist at the University of Notre Dame, told FiveThirtyEight.
Thomson-DeVeaux and Cox recognize that the affiliation of these liberals may have been weak from the start. The liberals in question “didn’t attend religious services often, perhaps dropping in once or twice a year.” Still, it opened “a rift among conservatives and liberals.”
The trend, they note, makes the Democratic base more nonreligious. It also influences church outreach and society at large, Campbell warned.
“We have very few organizations left in the country where people who have different political views come together,” he said. “Worship was one of those – and without it, the list is smaller and smaller.”
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Related:
The U.S. Church Isn’t Dying and Young People Aren’t Fleeing, Says Myth-Busting Book
Thank you AG News and Priscilla Burr for sharing this.
